‘An Alarming State of Affairs’: War on Iran Squeezes India's Kitchen Fuel Supplies.
The repercussions of a war being fought nearly 3,000km away are now impacting India's kitchens.
As US-Israeli strikes on Iran disrupt energy transports through the Strait of Hormuz, availability of liquefied petroleum gas (LPG) are dwindling across India, compelling restaurants to reduce offerings, close earlier and in some cases cease operations entirely.
Social media is awash with video clips showing crowds outside cooking-gas dealers across Indian cities and towns as worries over fuel supplies escalate. Businesses appear the worst hit: the sharpest squeeze is in food service establishments.
"Conditions are critical. Cooking gas simply isn't available," says a representative of the an industry group.
Most restaurants run either on industrial fuel canisters or direct gas lines, and the lack of supply are now being experienced across the country. "A lot of restaurants have closed - some in northern India, many in the southern states. People are switching to traditional burners and electronic appliances to keep food preparation going."
City-Specific Fallout
In a financial hub, accounts say up to a significant portion of eateries are already operating at reduced capacity as cylinder availability tighten. In the southern cities of Bengaluru and Chennai, some eateries say their cylinder inventory have depleted with scarce alternatives. "We can only make coffee and no food items - it is nothing less than pathetic. Businesses are going to suffer," says a chain proprietor in Bengaluru.
Restaurant operators are rushing to adjust. "Menus are being curtailed, some are cutting lunch service and operating solely in the evening," an industry representative says, adding that stoppages are changing as supplies come and go. "A number of eateries in Delhi were shut yesterday - two have already reopened. It's a dynamic scenario."
Retailers observe a spike in sales of induction stoves, with some saying they are selling out quickly.
Authority's View
Yet, the officials states there is sufficient stock.
India has more than 300 million household consumers and authorities say supplies are being reallocated to households as conflict-related stress from the war in the Gulf ripple through energy markets.
About a majority of India's LPG is imported, and about the vast majority of those consignments pass through the Strait of Hormuz, the strategic bottleneck now effectively closed by the conflict.
The relevant department says that it ordered refineries to boost LPG output for home needs, enhancing domestic production by about 25%. Business-grade fuel is being reserved for critical services such as healthcare and education, while distribution will be "just and open".
"A degree of anxious stocking and stockpiling has been sparked by false reports. The regular refill period for home fuel remains about under three days," says a government spokesperson.
Growing Panic
Now the concern is spreading beyond kitchens. On digital platforms, a widely shared video from Chennai shows a lengthy, winding line of motorbikes outside a gas outlet. "Concern is genuine," the description reads.
According to analysis from market experts, concerns about India's broader fuel supplies may be exaggerated.
India imports the overwhelming majority of its petroleum. Around 50% of its petroleum shipments - about millions of barrels a day - travel through the strait, largely from Middle Eastern nations.
Even if crude flows through the Strait of Hormuz are hindered, the shortfall could be partly compensated for by higher imports of Russian petroleum, according to a sector expert.
Based on maritime intelligence and industry information, incremental Russian crude imports could reach around a significant volume of barrels a day, reducing India's effective gap from exposure to the Strait of Hormuz to about 1.6 million barrels a day.
"Tens of millions of Russian oil barrels are currently in transit at sea in the Indian Ocean and, with only key buyers as major buyers, those barrels remain a viable alternative," an analyst noted.
Cooking Gas: The Critical Weakness
The primary concern is cooking gas, analysts say.
India consumes roughly 1 million barrels a day, but produces only 40-45% domestically, importing the rest - the vast majority through the chokepoint.
Refineries can adjust processes to squeeze out a bit more LPG, but even a moderate increase would only lift domestic supply to about 47-50% of demand, leaving the country largely dependent on imports.
In short: "Petroleum shortage concerns can be somewhat alleviated through alternative sourcing. Refined product supply remains fairly adequate. Cooking gas supply is the key factor to monitor in the coming weeks."
What may be worsening the anxiety on the ground is not just limited availability but patchy deliveries - and the usual problem of panic buying.
An industry representative states opportunistic profiteering.
"Suppliers are misusing the situation - black-marketing cylinders and selling them at a high cost. In one small town, I heard of cylinders being accumulated and sold at a premium."
For now, India's oil supplies may be buffered by global trade flows. But in restaurants across the country, the more pressing concern is simple: how to get the next refill.